|
Home, choices, Barometer, timing, backtest, signal, buy, sell, watch 2011 August 26 UpdateThe watch list was generated before the 2011 August 26 market opening. The portfolio is current to the 2011 August 26 market close.Watch listThis watch list is for the purchase of a stock. The Yahoo Java screener was used to find approximately 250 stocks with Current Price >= $5 and the lowest PEG ratios. Historical price data were downloaded from the MSN database and current trends were calculated: SYMBOL & NAME TREND ACTIVITY & END MARKET ————————————————————————————— ————— ————————————————————————————————————— TSU Tele Celular 145 mobile telecom utility Brazil SHG Shinhan Financial 135 diverse financial services Korea AFSI AmTrust Financial 125 property/casualty insurance USA EC Ecopetrol SA 122 integrated oil/gas S Amer HFC HollyFrontier Corp 116 oil refining USA IACI IAC/InterActiveCorp 115 Internet sites/services USA WYNN Wynn Resorts 112 casino resorts USA/China HRBN Harbin Electric 103 electric motors China DTV DIRECTV 103 digital TV utility USA ABG Asbury Automotive 79 auto dealer chain USA BBSI Barrett Business 75 personnel services USA KYO Kyocera Corp 71 ceramics for electronics global FELE Franklin Electric 70 water/fuel pumping systems global AEA Advance America 66 payday loan services USA NQ NetQin Mobile 66 mobile Internet security China NSIT Insight Enterprises 63 infotech products/services N Amer IAG IAMGOLD Corp 56 mineral mining global PAET PAETEC Holding 55 broadband telecom utility USA DLA Delta Apparel 48 activewear and headwear USA BLX Banco Latinoamerica 45 trade financing Latin Amer The screener results (exactly 250 stocks) suggested that this market is extremely weak. Only 36 stocks were in uptrends, while 210 were in downtrends. Only TSU, AFSI, HFC, IACI, and HRBN had strong uptrends (more then 69) and were not more than halfway towards a trend reversal. PortfolioMost of my stocks developed downtrends, and one of my option holdings developed a downtrend in the underlying stock. Consequently, they were sold: TICKER SYMBOL & NAME QTY START END —————————————————————————————— ———— ————————————————— ————————————————— ALV Autoliv Inc 300 08/27/10 16,595 08/03/11 18,136 CAT13C105 Caterpillar Inc call 2 02/25/11 2,391 08/09/11 1,788 CBS CBS Corp 700 05/27/11 19,581 08/09/11 16,063 CTSH Cognizant Technology 350 06/26/09 9,300 08/11/11 21,677 CXO Concho Resources 300 07/27/10 18,009 08/09/11 22,989 DECK Deckers Outdoor 300 12/15/10 24,431 08/19/11 23,892 HS HealthSpring Inc 500 03/26/10 8,855 08/05/11 17,470 HTGC Hercules Technology 2000 05/27/10 17,974 08/09/11 17,154 KRO Kronos Worldwide 600 03/25/11 17,612 08/05/11 13,750 NNI Nelnet Inc 1000 10/27/10 23,062 08/09/11 18,688 OYOG OYO Geospace 200 06/27/11 19,332 08/08/11 14,549 TRS TriMas Corp 1000 04/27/11 23,919 08/09/11 19,628 I chose AFSI for the periodic purchase, bypassing TSU because it is too similar to CHL and bypassing SHG because it is more than halfway towards a trend reversal. TICKER SYMBOL & NAME QTY START TODAY —————————————————————————————— ———— ————————————————— ————————————————— AAPL13C345 Apple Inc call 1 01/27/11 6,566 08/26/11 8,149 AFSI AmTrust Financial 1000 08/26/11 22,593 BRFS Brasil Foods 1000 07/27/11 19,228 08/26/11 18,980 CHL China Mobile 700 04/19/05 11,323 08/26/11 35,245 Monthly capital gains
11/26 12/15 01/27 02/25 03/25 04/27 05/27 06/27 07/27 08/26 Bull
————— ————— ————— ————— ————— ————— ————— ————— ————— ————— —————
301 83 -640 -1225 -55 3671 -552 AAPLc
1200 1137 702 -1986 -714 2340 -1419 243 -2847 -1757 ALV
-248 BRFS
1438 30 -600 -510 90 -1052 CATc
-436 511 -3593 CBS
-623 -777 126 -1729 -1092 560 -728 840 2086 700 CHL
84 1046 1376 1168 1232 616 -2456 -1012 -700 -2781 CTSH
3768 885 1077 6642 -1179 30 -3249 -2946 2643 -5247 CXO
-1445 3504 -1497 4023 -1467 -2118 2028 -3567 DECK
1080 -210 5070 4900 -780 3640 1899 ----- ----- ----- HS
1215 1650 -1985 -3530 HS
-640 100 1440 280 80 -1000 380 -420 -1340 -2486 HTGC
859 -1233 156 90 -3734 KRO
-1146 -40 272 46 5235 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- LZ
-822 420 230 -620 -830 1670 -1810 660 -1900 -1372 NNI
1014 -5797 OYOG
-3590 6370 -1890 1140 -2960 -380 620 -3304 ----- ----- RDWR
1454 -4166 ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- SLW
-2809 2290 -340 -3432 TRS
————— ————— ————— ————— ————— ————— ————— ————— ————— ————— —————
-689 10385 2792 13646 -984 11748 -10073 -4962 3021 -38448 Total
11/26 12/15 01/27 02/25 03/25 04/27 05/27 06/27 07/27 08/26 Hedge
————— ————— ————— ————— ————— ————— ————— ————— ————— ————— —————
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total
|